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The final result of the US presidential elections depends on five states, which have already warned that they need more hours, and even days, to count the historic number of postal votes due to the pandemic crisis.
Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia and Nevada it is the five states (out of a total of 50) that now focus all the attention, several hours after election night. Due to their weight in Electoral College, these five states can decide who will be the winner of the 59th US election, Trump or Biden. Those elected (chosen by indirect vote) must guarantee at least 270 of the 538 “big voters” that make up the Electoral College – see here how the complicated US electoral system works.
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In Wisconsin, with about 95% of the votes cast, Joe Biden leads by a margin of about 20,000 votes, at a time when thousands of postal votes continue to be processed by machines that automate the process. However, the voting cells must be transported to the counting centers.
In addition to the logistical difficulties of the counting process in large territories such as the state of Wisconsin, there are the criticisms and allegations of fraud raised by Donald Trump in relation to the postal vote.
If the difference in closing the vote is less than 1%, Trump may request a re-count of all votes, which will further delay an official final result.
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With about 90% of the votes cast, the two candidates are practically equal: Biden with 49.3% and Trump with 49.1%
Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, in charge of the electoral tally, said he hoped to have a “very clear” picture of the results “in the next 24 hours,” then asked for “patience”.
The delay in Michigan is partly due to the fact that locations with more than 25,000 inhabitants had to wait until November 2 (Monday) to start processing early votes.
In addition, the count will last longer than expected, because there was a record participation with over five million votes, of which 3.3 million were sent by post and more than two million in person.
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In this “vital” state, and with 75% of the votes cast, Trump is ahead with an advantage of just over 600,000 votes. However, more than one million postal votes have yet to be added to the final tally.
Areas traditionally tied to the Democratic Party, like Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, are still missing several hundred thousand votes, which is giving hope to Joe Biden’s campaign.
However, the process can take time. Allegheny County, which includes Pittsburgh and the southern suburbs of the city, announced this morning that it has suspended the counting of votes and will resume at around 1.30pm local time (6.30pm in Lisbon).
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A traditionally republican state, where a Democratic presidential candidate has not won since 1992, Georgia appears in these elections as a highly contested scenario, a situation linked to a possible increase in the participation of African American voters in favor of Joe Biden.
With 94% of the votes counted, Trump leads the count with 50.5% of the votes, closely followed by Joe Biden, who represents 48.3%.
However, the areas considered to be the most democratic in the state remain to be counted, especially the counties of the city of Atlanta and the surrounding residential areas.
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It is another of the states considered a key part of the final outcome, although no Republican presidential candidate has won in this region since 2004.
With 86% of the votes cast, Biden leads the count with 49.3% of the votes, ahead of Trump who accounts for 48.7%.
The difference between the two candidates is of the order of 8,000 votes.
This morning, state election officials reported that no further election results will be released in the next few hours.
In this state, early voting has not yet started to count, which could favor candidate Joe Biden, as Democratic voters will have more adherence to this voting mode.
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