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Donald Trump does not recognize the election. And so it prevents Joe Biden from getting used to it. How long can Trump do this? There is evidence of this – and even a date.
In the ’90s comedy “Starting Over”, Bill Murray plays a self-centered time announcer who keeps seeing the same day. At 6 o’clock “I Got You Babe” rings from the clock radio and for him it all starts again, his seemingly useless work repeats itself and repeats itself.
There is a switchboard in the White House that usually wakes presidents from their dreams with an alarm bell. Donald Trump doesn’t have to report every day whether or not groundhog Punxsutawney Phil expects a quick start to spring. But Trump’s days have gotten more and more alike since Joe Biden won the election.
Trump gets up, Trump plays golf or works a little, but most of all Trump gets angry on Twitter about the alleged stolen elections. How long do you want to keep doing this?
“He won because …”
Donald Trump knows he’s lost. Observers and many anonymously named employees are now pretty much in agreement. Trump also recently let it pass publicly, albeit unintentionally.
On Friday, when Trump held his only press conference to date after defeating a corona vaccine advancement, he almost gossiped. There will be no blockade with his government, he said and then stammers: “Hopefully, um, whatever happens in the future, who knows what government it will be, time will tell …”
On Sunday, Trump tweeted: “He won because the election was rigged.” When the first news of the admission of defeat was sent, Trump obviously understood what he had done and sent several tweets afterwards. “I don’t admit anything!”
Movements of deposition among the Republicans
It fits with what the US media is reporting about Trump’s confidants in those unprecedented days in Washington. Trump’s grand strategy to really stop Biden from taking office – it just doesn’t exist. Trump appears to be just trying to see how far he can go and how long Republicans will support him.
And just that could help estimate how long Trump can completely refuse to initiate the handover to Biden. For now, any Republican who cautiously distances himself from Trump on the matter is still on the front page. This alone shows that there are still very, very few. But there are these titles.
And even influential and Trump-loving Republicans like Lindsey Graham recently formulated when they would accept Biden as president-elect: whether Trump admits defeat, or whether lawsuits have failed in court and states have certified election results.
It will likely take a long time before Trump actually admits defeat without claiming that the presidency has been stolen from him. However, there is data for the causes and results.
December 8 could be decisive
By December 8, all state litigation and recount are expected to be completed. This is the so-called “Safe Harbor” deadline. At the latest, all states usually certify the results of their elections, that is, they confirm them so that voters can elect the president on December 14th. Usually a simple formality that could be important this year.
Most observers assume that Trump’s legal team around Rudy Giuliani has little chance of finding so much evidence of widespread election fraud to turn the result into one of the contested states. But if there were still legal disputes on December 8, it could still get dirty.
If so, the republican-dominated parliament in most of the contested states could simply constitute its own voters, arguing that there is no legitimate result. In these states, this task actually falls to governments and in states primarily concerned with Democrats.
There is even discussion of the scenario that the government and parliament simply appoint both voters because of the whole controversy, which is that there are two different groups from the same state. Trump voters and Biden voters. In any case, either the United States Congress or even the courts would have to decide in the end.
Virtually impossible
It is a very unlikely scenario. And even if Biden’s voters did indeed become Trump voters in this way in one of the contested states, that wouldn’t be enough for Trump. Joe Biden won the election with 306 to 232 voters. To turn the tide, Trump needs such an unlikely scenario in an unlikely number of states.
It is practically impossible.
Joe Biden with economic advisors: the newly elected president does not want to be discouraged by the Trump blockade, yet he suffers from it. (Source: Kevin Lamarque / Reuters)
Therefore, it will actually become more difficult for many Republicans and even Trump to completely refuse to relinquish office by December 8 at the latest. Because that’s what it’s all about at the moment: the so-called “transition” from Trump to Biden. In any case, Biden will not be officially introduced into office until January 20.
But so far, as president-elect, Biden has, unlike usual, no access to government information, offices and moneyto which you are entitled for this phase of introduction. For days Biden was extremely relaxed on this subject and said he didn’t want to complain. But his tone became clearer on Monday. “If we don’t coordinate, more people could die,” he said, referring to the rapidly increasing number of crowns in the United States.
The refined meteorological moderator
Biden should still wait a while. Until the lawsuits get too desperate. Or until December 8th. Trump is in no hurry. He is busy collecting donations for his election litigation, which he also pays off electoral debts, as can be seen in small print.
At the same time, he successfully throws himself into the pose of a resistance fighter for his supporters. Over the weekend, tens of thousands of them marched to Washington for him. In the upcoming presidential election of 2024, Trump could perhaps use her again as a voter. Or even before as a viewer on a Trump TV station.
Much seems possible. But sooner or later Trump will have to get out of his personal time warp of the same days with angry election tweets. In the comedy “Starting Over”, this happens when the self-centered weather presenter has become a better person over time.
But that’s Hollywood too.
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