Elections in the United States: Donald Trump won the victory in the state of Florida

The President of the United States, Donald Trump, won the victory in the state of Florida, a territory in which the Republican candidate had to win to have clear options for re-election.

The 29 electoral votes represented by the conquest of the state of Florida are fundamental. Given the scenario in the U.S. today, there are 29 vital votes for President Donald Trump in his quest for re-election.

Up to now 97% of the minutes have been recorded, which put Trump four points ahead of Biden.

President Trump’s campaign has claimed victory in the key state of Florida, although the US media has estimated that the race is still very close.

The Trump campaign team made this claim in a tweet as the ballots are still being counted.

The newspaper The New York Times calculated that the chance of the president winning Florida is over 95%.

In 2016, Trump narrowly beat Democrat Hillary Clinton in Florida, while opinion polls this year showed a connection between him and opponent Joe Biden.

Maybe sometimes Utah or Alabama vote Democrat, even if it hasn’t happened for decades; maybe sometimes California or New Jersey vote Republican again. But in general they have been in which the political capital of one party or another is secured with predictability similar to the seasons. Instead, Arizona, North Carolina, Florida, Georgia, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and sometimes Texas I’m like the feather in the wind of the song Rigoletto: they are considered to have been in perennial controversy, which one year can favor the conservatives and two years later, a liberals.

The Jackpot, Florida, Once again it presents a tense scenario: if the Democrats won the 2018 parliamentary elections, the Republicans won the previous ones. And the ghost of the state still hangs over the state 2000 election dispute between George W. Bush and Al Gore, which ended in a Supreme Court decision. And in the fight against Hillary Clinton, Trump prevailed by just 113,000 votes in the country’s third most populous state. However, within hours of opening the polls, Donald Trump appears to be winning that key state.

In the last week of October, polls favored Biden, but by so little that the margin for error minimizes it: 51% of the intention to vote against Trump’s 48%, according to CBS News. Already 2.5 million Floridians cast their votes in the mail, an impressive figure: it exceeds the total number of voters in 2016. The recount has also begun, which would allow the results to be reported in advance.

“If Trump loses Florida, it will be harder for him to challenge election results elsewhere,” USA Today analyzed. “But the polls show the president has a good chance of winning the state“For this he has made a great effort in several cities over the past 10 days, much like Biden, who Obama has supported with events in Miami and Orlando.

For both candidates it is a key state; Trump can’t lose him and Biden would struggle to get more than 29 votes in the constituency he represents. “Florida, it’s up to you,” the Democrat said at a ceremony in Broward County. “If Florida turns blue, it’s over.” Something similar expressed Trump in Tampa: “We will win in Florida and we will win for another four years”.

The other states

From the night of November 3, 2020, will be defined if Donald Trump stay in White House Oh yeah Joe Biden come back, this time as president. In reality, the key this time around lies only in six of them, that concentrate 101 of the 270 votes needed to conquer the Electoral College: Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania in the north and Arizona, North Carolina and Florida To the south.

Candidates got it right in the final segment of their campaigns – all of these states appear in the first part5 most important markets for political advertising and Trump and Biden have concentrated their final visits there towards the decisive Tuesday, USA Today noted. “If this time the competition is as close as in 2016, when fewer than 80,000 votes in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania decided the presidency, you have to expect most of the suspense to come from these states ”.

Wisconsin, 10 votes in Electoral College

Trump went to great lengths to keep the state he won four years ago: he visited Wisconsin five times in October to visit the Republican suburbs of Milwaukee, the city of Kenosha and the particularly sloping area of ​​Green Bay. Biden, on the other hand, only went once, the Friday before the election; its presence was mainly in television, with a volume of advertising much higher than that of the president.

With the cases of coronavirus on the rise, the state famous for beer Miller And this time his large cheese production seems to be leaning towards the Democrat. This was seen in polls, stable since May. Neither the fluctuations of the pandemic nor the August protests in Kenosha seem to have affected them, primarily because the police fired seven shots at Jacob Blake inside your car; after because in one of the demonstrations Kyle Rittenhouse, 17, killed two protesters and wounded others with a long gun.

“Biden dominates Wisconsin by 5 points”, CBS News summarized the state polls. Four key groups that favored Trump in 2016 now appear to prefer the former vice president: the men, whites, non-college voters and older adults. USA Today He cited the most important survey, conducted by Marquette Law School, which out of six measures gave the former first vice president a 4-6 percent lead.

Arizona, 11 votes in Electoral College

A state that I preferred the Republicans -from Bill Clinton won, nearly a quarter of a century ago, followed the red trend that had characterized it before – now it seems to give the Democratic candidate an edge. However, with a 6-point margin of error in CBS News poll, 51% for Biden versus 46% for Trump Enter the realm of the unpredictable.

Also in 2016 the definition of Arizona was almost overturned: the The president won 3.5%, thanks to the favor of Maricopa County, where Phoenix is ​​located, which represents about 60% of the total state votes.

Both candidates visited the territory multiple times: 16, in total, with seven of those visits – counting the four candidates, the presidency and the vice presidency – in October. To break the Lead 3.9% On average, RealClearPolitics rewarded its competitor, Trump, bombed Phoenix with electoral propaganda: the city received “the the largest number of ads in the countryAccording to USA Today, of the campaign for his re-election.

North Carolina, 15 votes in Electoral College

This southern state is, like Arizona, a factor unpredictable. The margin between candidates is even smaller, and is exceeded by the possible error rate in the polls, which is 5.9%: Biden leads with 50% intentions to vote over the 48% that Trump gets. Again, there is a file Already seen in 2016, when Hillary Clinton lost to North Carolina by nearly 4 points.

Both Trump and Biden – who would prefer to take over the state, although he doesn’t need it, unlike his opponent – have flooded the state with political publicity, totaling $ 68 million between April 9 and October 25 only on local television, according to the Wesleyan Media Project. Proselytizing events are also plentiful: “Trump made so many visits that one man joked that he should have started paying property taxes,” noted USA Today. The last was Monday 2 November.

The fight is so close that both candidates have devoted resources to seduction a minimum electorate as the Lumbee Tribe, Robeson County, about 27,000 Native Americans or 0.36% of registered voters in the state. But Biden remembers well – and Republicans do not ignore him – that in 2008 only 14,177 votes marked the victory of Barack Obama in North Carolina.

Michigan, 16 votes in Electoral College

“Of all the disputed states that went from blue to red four years ago, Michigan is the most likely to return to support the Democratic candidate,” he summed up. USA Today. The Biden’s lead in the final polls reached 6.5% on the map where Trump won in 2016 by just 10,704 votes out of 4.8 million.

Before 48% -41%, Trump has made an effort in the campaign with acts during the final sprint Muskegon, Lansing and Oakland County, outside Detroit, plus Grand Rapids, where she successfully closed her campaign against Hillary Clinton. Biden also walked the territory and within Detroit was accompanied by Obama: a clear sign that winning Michigan is crucial for the White House to once again host a Democrat.

Due to the economy and the COVID-19 crisis, according to a survey by the Detroit Free Press, a core of Trump supporters seem to turn their backs on him: the Unskilled workers, who lacks university or tertiary studies, claimed it at 62% versus 31% in 2016, but now that figure has dropped to 54%, and the exact 8 points have been passed on to his opponent.

Pennsylvania, 20 constituency votes

The temperature of the electoral struggle rises several degrees in Pennsylvania. Adding to the massive status in the final presidential decision is a difference between candidates that is too close to the margin of error in the polls, 5.9% in the CBS News polls: Biden has 53% of the voting intentions against Trump’s 46%.

There are other factors that make this pendulum state much more sensitive than usual. In 2016 the president won the state where he has wrote the Constitution for 44,300 votes out of the 6.1 million cast. And in 2020, the registry of citizens authorized to vote reached nine million.

Biden, born and raised in Pennsylvania until the age of 13, seems to resonate positively among voters who won the Democrats between 1992 and 2016. On a last visit to the site, he alluded to his trajectory ever since. The birthplace of Scranton – a city of 75,000 in the northeast – in the White House. Trump, meanwhile, visited the state almost weekly throughout the campaign, with about 10 personal or team visits.

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