Brexit to a new referendum

The most shameful and humiliating defeat, on a main theme, of a British government for more than a century (1920). A defeat that requires a vote of confidence for the British government and the opposition has already announced a motion of no confidence. But what happens to Brexit?

The vote was doubled by some amendments, one of which (introduced by opposition leader Jeremy Corbin), clarifying that the British Parliament rejected the unanimous exit from the European Union. On the other hand, there are three solutions proposed. May 1 May – after the vote of no confidence, which probably will fail on Wednesday morning: a reflection period of 3 days, until Monday, a request to the EU to extend the negotiation period and a new approach to the agreement .

So he speaks of Jeremy Corbyn, Labor leader, who speaks of the opposition meeting for consultations, but also of three guarantees: Britain does not leave the EU: Britain remains in the European common market – the variant of the Norwegian agreement annuls the back-stop effect linked to the introduction of the inter-Irish border; and guarantee the free movement of European citizens. Corbyn wants early elections, but retains the Brexit option in the referendum (despite the large majority of his party opts for a new referendum). Finally, the third option is the vote for a new referendum on article 50 and the reversal of Brexit, thus the conservation of Great Britain in the EU.

So the speculations start. There are two approaches. First, that of the pro-Europeans, which reflects the will of the current majority of the population, foolish of a party, the UKIP, which has not even been in Parliament, has obtained Brexitus for fraud and false news, and its leader Nigel Farange refused to have handled the subject and went to the European Parliament (!!!) to end his term as a Member of the European Parliament, leaving the Conservatives to handle the disaster they caused. The pro-Europeans are on the table the option of a new referendum. And this option is getting more and more traction and desire. The option is also based on the need for legitimacy, or if the fall of the government and early elections are rejected, the return to citizens can only be done through a new referendum. It depends on how the questions are asked. The argument is also that the rejection of the agreement and the rejection of the agreement have been rejected, the only possibility that remains a new referendum and the cancellation of Brexit – a variant already suggested by the President of the European Council, Donald Tusk.

The second is to get an extension of the Brexit term and new negotiations. It is already under discussion in Brussels in July, but there are good reasons and the guarantee that this is the end of the topic. In the case of negotiations with the EU, Brussels also stressed that there are no other options and other failures to put on the table. The letter type palettes and other guarantees of this invoice have failed. It is impossible to return to the negotiations on this agreement. What can be done is a softer variant of the Brexit, the one already proposed by the opposition leader, Norway, which cancels the biggest obstacle to the vote in Parliament, the back-stop, the process by which the EU maintains the guarantees that Ireland and Ireland the North remains in the same formula of trade agreement with the EU, without a border between them, ie keeping Northern Ireland in the single market.

In both cases, I believe that the EU can not afford unlimited time without reason and clear choices to move forward towards a clear solution. In the first place, it takes time to organize and pass the referendum, in the second case it must be based on a firm and substantially different offer from the first, which justifies simpler negotiations, in order to avoid the extension of these negotiations. negotiation option for the sake of negotiating or interpreting that someone is playing the chord. In both cases, this time it will be used to agree on the agreed minimum and applicable package immediately after the referendum or the new transition period to another detailed agreement, which first illustrates the three conditions already formulated by Jeremy Corbyn: it is not obvious, Britain remains in the common market, London accepts the free movement of European citizens. After these arguments validated from the beginning, a new Norwegian-style agreement can be negotiated or, if a new referendum is held and the vote increases, Britain remains in the EU.

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