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US President Donald Trump is expected to end his term on January 20, 2021, but has yet to admit defeat, and his campaign team continues to make baseless allegations of election fraud. Newsweek .
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But it seems increasingly unlikely that Trump will be in the Oval Office for a second term as US states certify their choices and prepare their voters for the next president’s vote.
Trump’s refusal to acknowledge his opponent’s victory and allegations of voting fraud have led some of his critics to speculate that he could act as if he had won the election and even hold an alternate inauguration.
“It looks like we’re heading for an Avignon presidency. As long as the military doesn’t change its loyalty (and I don’t think it will) it will be incredibly fun,” Jeet Heer, home affairs correspondent for The Nation, said on Twitter.
Heer refers to a period in the history of the Catholic Church when there were two rival popes, one in Rome and the other in Avignon.
“I mean, Biden will be sworn in and have the government on his side on January 20. Trump will lose power but continue to pretend to be president. Perhaps he will establish an alternative White House in Mar-a-Lago (not one of Trump’s exclusive clubs. “Heer continued.
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The idea has gained followers online, especially among the president’s critics, especially since he and his supporters keep saying he won the election.
Lawyers on the Republican president’s team, led by his personal attorney, Rudy Giuliani, said Thursday that Trump won with an avalanche of votes.
Elizabeth Sanders is a professor emeritus in the Cornell University Department of Government Studies, whose interests include the executive branch and the evolution of American politics.
He told Newsweek that Trump’s threat has been underestimated and that Republicans are already looking forward to a future without him.
“I think people have exaggerated fears about Trump,” Sanders said, adding that “he will disappear into the background as his party seeks more traction leaders.” Remember that the two Republican candidates for the Senate fear that Trump may be a “burden” for their electoral chances. “
Sanders refers to two Georgia Senate races that entered the second round and will be played by Republicans Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue.
Justin Crowe, associate professor of political science at Williams College, agrees that the possibility of an “Avignon presidency” is small. One of Crowe’s areas of expertise is constitutional theory and law.
“Whether he’s trying to maintain popular support for a possible 2024 candidacy, raise funds to pay off campaign debts, or build momentum for his own media business, Trump can be involved in a variety of activities to keep him in the public eye. public opinion but the idea of trying to set up a rival administration is completely out of place, “he said.
“Could you hold a rally at the same time as Biden’s opening?” Possible. Will we still see him calling Fox and Friends to criticize everything Biden does and says? Likely. Will he tweet about the poor ratings of Biden’s speeches and how he actually deserves credit for the positive developments related to COVID and the economy, as well as redistributing bizarre ideas about how the election was rigged? Absolutely, “Crowe said.
“As deeply bizarre and embarrassing as all this is compared to the history of former presidents’ behavior (and disturbingly long-term corrosive to democratic norms), they will be at a significant distance from attempting to lead a shadow government or at least continue to pretend to be. president, “says the American expert.
“This would involve a lot more effort and planning than he is willing to invest [Trump] right now, “Crowe concludes.
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