What relations between the United States and Iran will look like in a possible presidency of Joe Biden

The Iranian Islamic Broadcasting Agency (IRTV) has long been regarded as a press and propaganda organ of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). The accusation is based on the fact that three weeks before the election he launched a global program in the United States to influence the results. The news agency has also been accused of operating in a network that favors the financing and activity of around two hundred press outlets in more than a dozen countries around the world.

The political propaganda body has operated covertly through various media in Europe for the past two years, where it used Spain as its chief operating officer to convey its message to the Spanish-speaking public on the east and west coasts of the United States and the America. Latin.

According to the European and American intelligence community, IRTV has the extension in Madrid collaboration of senior officials of the Spanish government and in Barcelona it does so through communicators which it generously finances. The agency also has media partners in Frankurt, London, Paris and Rome..

The Iranian goal was to foster the image of the democratic candidate Joe Biden to the detriment of the Republican Donald Trump to neutralize his re-election. He has invested in that task hundreds of millions of dollars.

In the plan to support and enforce Biden’s arrival in the Oval Hall, the mullahs hope he will undo sanctions imposed by the Trump administration to economically lighten the regime and have freedom in the continuity of its ICBM project and nuclear program.

That Iranian propaganda support is what Washington led to, hours before the election decide to apply new sanctions on the Khomeinist agency. However and at the same time the Treasury Department also imposed additional sanctions on the Ministry of Oil and the National Petroleum Agency of Iran. The Treasury said these entities provide financial support to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and the regime of Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad.

According to the statements of Elliott Abrams, United States Representative for Iran and Venezuela Affairs, Biden’s appointment as president shouldn’t change that as it will not be easy for him to lift the sanctions on Tehran as all, including those applied outside the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), cannot be easily lifted because the general structure of additional measures and sanctions is planned to which continue for quite some time.

Most of these restrictive measures were imposed by the rise to power of the Islamic revolution in 1979 and are not directly related to the nuclear program. In consecuense, The lifting of these sanctions requires a declaration and confirmation that Iran is not committed to supporting terrorism, which the regime can hardly prove..

The concrete thing is that Biden or Trump understand this a new agreement must be entered into on nuclear issues with Iran. The current one is insufficient as evidenced by the behavior of Iran when it received billions of dollars from the Obama administration after the signing of the JCPOA treaty and this has to do not only with the nuclear aspect, but with the financing of terrorist organizations in Lebanon , Iraq, Yemen, Gaza and Syria.

In this line of thinking, a new agreement cannot set aside such activities and Iranian regional behavior beyond the nuclear dossier or its intercontinental missile program.

On the other hand, the clause of all measures that have also been attached expires between 2026 and 2031. Consequently, if Biden were to lift the sanctions, it would violate Treasury provisions and would be an act of open unconstitutionality and difficult for Republicans in the Senate to accept.

Khomeinists are aware that their regime cannot endure another four years under the current suffocation of sanctions implemented by Donald Trump., so they will have no choice but to negotiate if they don’t want to aggravate their current situation. And there Washington will have the opportunity to block the mullahs in their plans to obtain nuclear weapons.

Many would think a Biden presidency would turn things around 180 degrees. However, regarding the sanctions, the scenario will not be as positive as Iran hopes. Contrary to this, what appeared to be an Iranian victory with the official sanctions expiry on October 18, reality has shown that this has not been the case since the United States unilaterally ratified the sanctions and the European Union (EU) maintains its restrictive measures on arms transfers to Tehran.

However, and in addition to challenging Washington with the visit of the Iranian foreign minister to Caracas Javad zarif last Wednesday and his conversations with the dictator Nicolás Maduro about sending missiles to Venezuela; The Iranians know that even this was not a victory because if they tried to transfer weapons to the Chavista regime they would not be able to do so legally due to the current restrictions.In such a way as to have to implement a parallel system that allows it since the Caribbean dictatorship appears as the first commercial place for the sale of weapons and missiles that Iran intends to close.

However, if Iran sells long-range missiles to Venezuela, it would pose a serious threat to Washington since these could reach the territory of the United States, therefore such a transfer would be unacceptable to the United States and would hardly be tolerated without direct actions that neutralize it.

As for the criticisms heard in the campaign, the allegations against Trump centered on the fact that his exit from the deal should have been made as part of an annex within the same deal, which was not addressed in that way from its administration and that it has closed. any possible subsequent dialogue. While Biden managed this aspect in a reductionist way when he spoke of a return to the agreement with the Iranians as part of Tehran’s compliance with the new guidelines, which appears complex by virtue of the behavior shown by Khomeinists in support of terrorist groups. regional.

For future relations with the Islamic Republic of Iran, Democrat Joe Biden will face a complex process and resolve numerous legal issues if he is inclined to lift the sanctions against Tehran, especially if he wishes to do so in compliance and in compliance with the law.

Consequently, whatever the direction of US foreign policy towards Iran, the lifting of sanctions will depend on their very essence, their specific aspects and the time in which they were enacted, as some were enacted by order. presidential, others from Congress and other than the Treasury.

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