More Latin voters support Trump in 2020 than in 2016



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(CNN) – President Donald Trump has won more Latin voters in several key states than in 2016, according to preliminary results from a national CNN exit poll.

The president captured nearly half of the group in Florida, up from 35% in 2016. Former Vice President Joe Biden garnered just over half of the Latin votes in the state, compared with 62% who supported Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. . four years.

Biden also lost the support of Latin voters in Georgia and Ohio, important states for winning the White House. The former vice president only grew about 16 percentage points in Georgia and about 24 points in Ohio, compared to Clinton’s margin of 40 percentage points and 41 points in Georgia and Ohio, respectively.

Yet in Arizona, Latin voters favored Biden by almost 2 to 1 and Trump barely made a dent. Clinton also easily won the Latin vote there in 2016.

But more voters under 30 have flocked for the former vice president in several major Midwestern states and Arizona.

In Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, nearly two-thirds of these voters supported Biden, compared to 47% of Wisconsin young voters and 52% of Pennsylvania young voters who voted for Clinton in 2016. And in Ohio, about 3 young voters on 5 voted for Biden, against just over half for Clinton.

Among the young Arizona voters, Biden was the candidate of choice of more than 2 to 1.

Trump has lost support among this age group in these four states since 2016.

White graduate voters also leaned slightly towards Biden. He held a double-digit lead with this group in Michigan, Arizona and Pennsylvania, although Clinton did not win this group in any of these states in 2016.

In Florida, Biden moved on with seniors and independents, winning just under half of voters aged 65 and over, compared to 40% who elected Clinton and more than half of independents, compared to just 43% who supported. Clinton.

According to the survey, just over half of Florida’s senior voters elected Trump, up from 57% in 2016. And voter turnout among independent voters dropped from 47% in 2016 to just over 2 in 5. ‘year.

Meanwhile, just over half of independent voters in Arizona have supported the former vice president, a significant increase since 2016, when Trump won the group from 47% to 44%. This year, about 2 out of 5 independents supported the president.

Seniors in Arizona also supported Biden, who got just over half of their votes. In 2016, Trump won this demographic.

CNN’s exit polls this year include in-person interviews at early voting venues and telephone interviews to address voters in the mail. Those polls add to in-person interviews with voters on Tuesday. In every state where exit poll results are available on election night, there will be a combined result to reflect a complete picture of voters across the country.

Early exit polls show that college-educated voters made up just under half of the 2020 electorate, just over 4 out of 10 voters who had college degrees in 2016. White voters made up about 2 out of 3 voters in the 2020 electorate , which is slightly down from 71% of the 2016 electorate. Women made up just over half of the electorate this year, according to those early polls, similar to those in 2016.

The economy is the main concern

The economy was the most important thing for voters when they voted for president, according to preliminary results of a national CNN exit poll.

And while they were quite divided over whether the country’s economy is doing well, more than half said the coronavirus pandemic caused them financial hardship. However, more people say they are better today than they were four years ago (around 4 in 10) than they say they are worse today (2 in 10).

José Miguel Vivanco: Trump encourages populist leadership 3:01

The United States suffered its biggest job loss in April, when states closed non-essential businesses and told residents to stay home to try to contain the Covid-19 outbreak. While employers have hired millions of Americans, the country has still lost 10.7 million jobs since February. The unemployment rate of 7.9% is the highest before the presidential election since the government began monitoring the monthly rate in 1948.

About a third of voters rated the economy as the most critical issue, while around 1 in 5 cited racial inequality, and around 1 in 6 cited the coronavirus pandemic as the most important to their vote. About 1 in 10 cited health policy, crime and violence as their main problem.

Although they cited the economy more than the coronavirus as the biggest problem in choosing a candidate, a small majority say the nation’s priority now should be to contain the coronavirus over rebuilding the economy.

This discovery comes when most voters believe the nation’s efforts to contain the virus are going badly. With coronavirus cases on the rise in many states, nearly 7 in 10 voters say they consider wearing a mask a public health responsibility rather than a personal choice.

Opinions on anything related to the coronavirus divide voters based on political trends. Trump supporters are much more likely to call the economy their number one problem (about 6 out of 10 president supporters say it) than to cite the coronavirus (only 5% think so), while among Biden supporters , more names the coronavirus (about 3 out of 10) than the economy (about 1 out of 10).

Of the former vice president’s voters, more than a third said racial inequality was the most important issue, outnumbering all others.

About 7 out of 10 Trump supporters say rebuilding the economy should be the nation’s priority over containing the spread of the virus, while among Biden supporters, nearly 8 out of 10 go in the opposite direction, saying it contains the coronavirus. it should be the top priority.

About half of voters say the country’s economy is in poor shape, although many say they are better off today than four years ago (about 4 out of 10) who say they are worse off today (2 out of 10). Despite this, most say they are in financial difficulties due to the coronavirus pandemic.

Containing the coronavirus

In general, most voters believe the nation’s efforts to contain the virus are going badly. But this sentiment varies widely depending on the candidates people endorse.

More than 4 in 5 Biden voters say efforts to contain the virus are going badly, while only 1 in 10 Trump supporters think so.

With coronavirus cases and hospitalizations on the rise in many states, nearly 7 in 10 voters say they consider wearing a mask a public health responsibility rather than a personal choice. But that’s different too, with more than 4 in 5 Biden voters indicating it is a public health responsibility, but only half of Trump supporters say it is.

As of Tuesday afternoon, the United States has reported 9.3 million cases of the virus and more than 232,000 people have died, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. Tens of thousands more lives are expected to be claimed in the coming months.

Loyal to your candidates

Most Trump and Biden supporters said they voted more in support of their candidate than against their opponent, although Trump’s base was even more loyal to him. More than 4 in 5 people said they voted for the president, while just under two-thirds of Biden’s voters said the same.

The highest-quality voters looked to a president for a strong leader. A third said yes, while just under a quarter wanted someone with good judgment and just over a fifth thought a candidate who “takes care of people like me” was the most important thing. Less than a fifth were looking for someone who could unite the country.

On issues, nearly three-quarters of voters said a candidate’s position on the issues was the most important, while less than a quarter mentioned the candidate’s personal qualities.

More than half of the voters said the Supreme Court should keep Obamacare as it is. The judges will listen to oral discussions on a case that seeks to overturn the historic health reform law next Tuesday.

More than 3 in 5 voters said Supreme Court appointees were a major factor in their vote: Trump appointed three judges in his first term, moving the court to the right.

Two thirds of voters said climate change was a serious problem.

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Half of the voters are confident that their ballots will be counted accurately

Voters found the experience of casting their vote to be largely easy, although there is a large gap between the percentage of white voters who say it was very easy (around three-quarters) and the proportion of black voters who feel at the same time. the same way (almost half). About half in general say they are very confident that the votes in their states will be cast and counted accurately, about the same as four years ago.

With a wave of early and absent voters this year, very few have made a decision in the final days of the contest: only 4% say they made a decision in the last week of the campaign, and nearly three-quarters said they made a decision. a decision. decision before September.

The poll suggests a high level of new turnout. About 1 in 8 say 2020 is the first year they have voted, roughly on par with the turnout that indicated it in 2008.

The CNN exit polls are a combination of in-person interviews with election day voters and telephone polls that measure the views of post-mail voters and first-time voters, and were conducted by Edison Research on behalf of the National Election Group. In-person interviews on election day were conducted in a random sample of 115 polling stations across the country among 7,774 election day voters. The results also include 4,919 telephone interviews with early and absent voters. The results of the complete sample have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points; it is larger for subgroups.

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