Will the Arab states help the Bashir regime stop it from falling?



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With the beginning of the popular protests in Sudan, questions were raised
On the possibility of intervention by the Arab countries to protect the Bashir regime from the fall, especially after it has intensified
He asks the demonstrators to demand the overthrow of the regime.

Fear of chaos

The important question remains: who are the Arab countries that can
Intervening for Bashir? What are the reasons for doing it?

The head of the African studies unit at the Al-Ahram Center, Amani
For a long time, that "one of the most important reasons that can justify Arab intervention in Sudan is the fear of
Sudan's openness to chaos or power vacuum can cause threats and regional influences
On the Red Sea. "

In an interview with "Arabic 21":" Escalation
Threats in the West Africa region, as well as the possibility that Sudan opens up to civil war,
Especially after the violence against the demonstrators, which could cause this chaos. "

And he stressed that the region started to move, even the risk of a scenario
The dangerous chaos on Sudan and the region as a whole. "But the Arab intervention
It must take into account the desire of the Sudanese people to express their government and aspirations ".

"There is no interest in anyone giving Bashir"

Amani al-Taweel expressed "his belief that there is no interest in anyone
An Arab country will intervene in the attribution of the Bashir regime, observing that everyone believes that the rules
Bashir al-Jamahiriya does not exist, especially after the press conference announced by the Congress Party
The popular partner of the government rejected the government's behavior and its support for the right of people to demonstrate peacefully.

"Bashir was a regional player with more than one team against
More than one part, and this has made his credibility and Sudan's policies eroded, all parties know he is manipulating
With everyone and not put it more than once, so there may not have been to help him stay
In the government, and even some news leaks say that there is a division in his party and that some want
Get rid of it. "

In turn, the professor of political science Dr. Ahmed Said Nofal
That "there are no Arab countries qualified to intervene in favor of Bashir and to prevent
His fall system. "

Nofal said "Arabic 21":" Though
The visit of Bashir to Damascus could push the Syrian regime to intervene in its favor, but the Syrian situation does not
He is allowed to do so, and even the Gulf states are not able to help him, and Egypt remains the state
Only able to do it, but the relationship between the two systems is not so good, so no
Cairo can intervene in its favor. "

"He is afraid of Israeli intervention in favor of
Bashir, referring to the rumors that the Arab capital will be
The next stage of visits by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is
Khartoum ".

It supports the overthrow of Bashir

In exchange for countries that supported the counter-revolution in the spring countries
Arab countries, there were other countries trying to overthrow the regimes of these countries, it can be repeated
Their interest in the Sudanese situation?

The head of the African studies unit at the Al-Ahram Center, Amani
For a long time, he expressed this question by saying, "No one has an interest in overthrowing the person of Bashir, but
Everyone also has an interest in not turning Sudan into armed chaos or civil war or the emptiness of power,
And these risks of the popular movement are now those that count everyone ".

For his part, said the professor of political science Dr. Ahmed Said Nofal:
"Without a doubt the al-Bashir regime has many enemies, for example, turning the Bashir regime into shows in Syria
But this came out of the framework of the alliance that existed between him and some Gulf countries, in addition
That his relationship with the Egyptian regime is not at his best, so I think many countries have
Have a role to put an end to the Sudanese regime ".

Possible economic assistance

And on the possibility that some Gulf countries provide economic assistance
In Sudan to help end the protests, Nofal said: "The crisis is not cheap, people
The Sudanese works for greater freedom and democracy, and also for the parties that have participated
Bashir in power opposed his policy ".

"In conclusion, I think it has become
Now it is difficult to put an end to the popular movement in Sudan in the traditional way
The Sudanese president is seeking a radical solution to the return to stability by resigning, especially if he does so
Called for the people and directing the presidential elections ".

Amani al-Taweel is in agreement with Nofal that the demonstrations
Not just for economic reasons.

"I think the demonstrations this time went beyond the idea of ​​the demands," he said
And the demonstrators are determined to demand a global solution to all the problems of Sudan and the Gulf States
It has already pumped billions in Sudan, but has been abused, and the country has not benefited from these riches,
And it may have benefited from a limited elite, so I think we will not see any economic or political support
From the Arab states of Bashir. "

Read also: In detail .. The establishment of a coordination called "Sudanese uprising"

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