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Infection and mortality rates due to the new Corona virus vary between countries in the Arab region, the world and between Arab Gulf states and North African countries, due to many factors related to the environment, genetics, immunity and others. .
Since the start of its outbreak from the Chinese city of Wuhan at the end of last December, the number of cases of the Corona virus epidemic in Arab countries by the end of Saturday reached at least 120,868, while the number of deaths over the same period reached about the 2024.
If the Middle East region is compared with Western countries, particularly the United States, this number, on both sides, will make up a very small percentage of the global cases estimated over the same period, up to 4101536 cases and 280,435 deaths.
That is, the incidence rate in Arab countries is estimated at 2.9% of all cases, compared to 0.72 deaths, worldwide, according to the worldmeters website.
Epidemiologist Dr. Imad Bouzo believes that “this decrease may be due to causes related to immunity, or the environment, and possibly genetic factors … all of these are possibilities, some of which are supported by strong indicators”.
However, despite this global decline, there is a wide variation in the number of fatalities between countries or geographic areas in the Arab region.
High analysis speed
The Gulf countries, for example, have a much lower Corona death rate than the North African countries.
For example, Qatar has a death rate of 0.0006, or 6 deaths out of ten thousand, while Egypt has 0.0573, or 573 deaths in ten thousand.
In his interview with the Al-Hurra website, Buzo attributed the low mortality rate in the Gulf countries to the high percentage of the Corona analysis these countries conduct for their residents and added: “If we take into account the population (citizens and expatriates), the Gulf countries have very high Corona analyzes than any other. Another country in the world, and this helps to significantly reduce the death rate. “
Health services
The other factor affecting mortality rates, according to Buzo, is advanced health care, explaining to the Al-Hurra website that “Egypt and the Gulf countries are plagued by chronic conditions (such as blood pressure and diabetes. ), but the difference lies in the very advanced healthcare in the Gulf compared to Egypt and North Africa “. This could explain the low death rates in the Gulf countries.
Tens of thousands of wounded in Egypt
Buzo felt that the death rate in the Gulf is closer to accuracy and could constitute a standard rate of Corona deaths in the Arab region, taking into account population size. “Qatar, for example, conducts analyzes estimated to be one hundred times what Egypt does, and if Egypt does the same, it can lower rates. The current death (0.0573) at the same rate recorded in Qatar, which is 0.0006, but this means that the number of injured in Egypt will be in the tens of thousands “.
Among the other reasons that may suggest a significant increase in the number of infections in Egypt is that “Corona Egypt is most likely linked to the European or French model in particular, and is more contagious than that recorded in the Gulf and Asia, for example. “, according to Buzo.
Experts already believe that the current number of crown injuries in many countries of the world, even Western ones, does not reflect real numbers, so what about third world countries that do not have sufficient health capacity to verify cases of infection and death in their territories?
But the issue can only be resolved by conducting widespread antibody tests.
Another example of the high death rates in North Africa is Algeria, where the death rate by Saturday reached 0.0888, or 888 per ten thousand.
“There is absolutely no pandemic”
When you compare these numbers in North Africa with the Levant region, you find them very high. For example, the Crown death rate recorded in Jordan by Saturday was 0.0172, or 172 deaths per ten thousand, and in the Palestinian Territories 0.0053, which means 53 deaths per ten thousand, while in Lebanon 0.0321, or 321 deaths. for ten thousand. And this despite the proximity and overlap of these countries with Iran and Turkey, the two epicenters of the disease in the Middle East.
Buzu, who hails from the Levant region, said these numbers recorded in the Levant countries may not be accurate, but they are a clear indication that “there is definitely not a major pandemic in the Levant region for reasons that may be related to the immunity and exposure of the residents of the region to previous infections “.
Interestingly, the Arab country that recorded the number of injured by Saturday night is Saudi Arabia with 37,136 cases, the latest being Mauritania and the Comoros (one case in each).
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