R number potentially less than 1 in parts of Wales, Scotland and England

The reproduction number of the coronavirus – the R-value – is declining across the UK and is potentially less than one in parts of Wales, Scotland and northwest England, according to scientists reports. The government said the R for the UK was at 1-1.2, with its current forecast representing the situation in recent weeks. Hopefully, R will drop in more places next week or the following week, meaning the outbreak is on the wane, as people remain under restrictions. The latest news and analysis from the bulletin i. the number of new cases per day across the UK is estimated at between 55,000 and 81,000. This takes into account cases in nursing homes and hospitals as well as in the community. Experts believe that the level 3 restrictions in parts of England with a high number of cases, which were in place prior to the current blockade, have had some impact on the stabilization of infections. . Level 2 restrictions also had a potential effect. Paul Hunter, professor of medicine at Norwich School of Medicine, University of East Anglia, said: “Interestingly, the region with the most authority locations at level 3 (Northwest) recorded the most noticeable decline. The younger age groups are seeing a decline in cases, although levels continue to rise in older groups, who are more at risk for Covid-19, experts say. ‘epidemic is between 28 and 63 days across the UK. However, experts believe that a high mortality rate could still occur in late November due to current coronavirus infections. Experts believe the level 3 restrictions , imposed in Liverpool, have had some impact in stabilizing infections (Photo: Christopher Furlong / Getty Images It comes as new data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) axes on Friday show that there were around 654,000 people in private households in England who had Covid-19 between October 31 and November 6. About 1.2% of the population, which is a leap from the 618,700 people, or 1.13% of the population, who would have been infected with Covid-19 the previous week. ONS said that although the infection rate has increased in recent weeks, “the rate of increase is slower than in previous weeks”. Separate data from the Zoe app study conducted by King’s College London o It has been revealed that the number of new Covid-19 cases per day is now declining across the UK. The experts behind this study put the R in the North West at 0.8 and the UK value at 0.9. Tim Spector, Professor of Genetic Epidemiology at King’s, said: “After the peak in late October, cases have declined in most of the UK which is good news, but the numbers are still high in most areas, and with a prevalence of over 500,000 infected people, many viruses are still present in the population. with 376 additional deaths. The equivalent figures for Thursday were 33,470 and 563. Steven Riley, professor of infectious disease dynamics at Imperial College London, said that it is “difficult to attribute” the recent increase and decrease in cases and deaths to a specific factor. He said it was possible that people were anticipating the blockade and started changing their behavior earlier on the day of this event, due to the increased cases reported earlier this week.