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There are many publications in circulation that explain that the coronavirus survival rate is over 99%, what is it really?
These are messages that we saw blossom in early October and that come back in waves like an infodemic. In fact they are updating, on Twitter someone says: “A 94% effective vaccine for a disease with a 99% survival rate, my choice is made“, after this column, I’m not sure his choice will be the same.
Messages based on a poster, which would be placed on the front of a pharmacy, it should make us stop being afraid. The argument is as follows, 35,000 deaths registered for 67 million inhabitants, the death rate of the virus is only 0.05%, which according to the authors translates into a survival rate of 99.95%. Small concern is that this figure is only valid if the entire population is contaminated, but this is far from true and all the better. There is no massive test of the entire population and the 66 million inhabitants will not be tested, we can only make projections to know the true death rate of the virus.
A real mortality rate of 1%
According to an article in Point, the actual case death rate, i.e. its scientific name, it would be 1%, this corresponds to the number of deaths caused by the disease compared to the total estimated number of people who have had the disease, to set the IFR at 1%, the team of researchers at Imperial College London based on no fewer than 175 studies published worldwide. In high-income countries like France, scientists place the death rate after Sars-CoV-2 infection at 1.15%, while in low-income countries it would tend to be around 0.23%. Most of the population in less wealthy countries is younger. This virus is known to kill more elderly people and this study confirms this. Experts from Imperial College London have calculated that the risk of death from coronavirus will double every 8 years.
It is assumed that the interest of spreading this fake news fight against the general alarmist atmosphere. We all know the famous around us “but stop worrying, the second wave is less strong, I have a doctor friend who tells me every day”. We begin to understand that this kind of argument is no longer enough because we know it mortality was higher in the fall of 2020 than in 2019.
The same phenomenon as last March
This is verified thanks to the press release published by the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies, INSEE. Between 1 September and 2 November, the data sent by municipalities to INSEE show 109,945 deaths from all causes, which is 10% more than in 2019 and 11% more than in 2018. If we cannot categorically state that all of these deaths are attributable to the coronavirus, there is a mirror effect with spring when we noticed an increase in mortality compared to 2019. To the reassurers who do not hesitate, never say “oh okay okay”. We will take a step back, we will put on a mask and a hydroalcoholic gel, be more careful.
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