how to explain the decline in the virus’ rate of reproduction



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If you have downloaded the Tous Anti-Covid application, you have probably noticed the figure of the famous R, the rate of reproduction of the virus, which is 0.93. This means that below 1 the outbreak regresses. A figure that might surprise you.

In fact, this data released on Tuesday dates back to 7 November. A week earlier it was 1.2. So the virus’ rate of reproduction would drop very rapidly. Why not but it cannot be the effect of imprisonment. Too recent. Maybe the curfew… But on the other hand, we know that last week there were problems with the communication of the laboratory data. Which could skew the numbers.

One thing is certain: this reproduction rate is anyway down from the end of October and should, with the containment effect, soon drop below 1.

The editorial team advises you


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