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The HUG came up with pessimistic scenarios if measures were eased. Experts explain and relativize, without ruling out a new peak.
Geneva, 6 November 2020. University Hospitals (HUG). Hospitalizations are on the rise due to Covid-19. Storage of beds for the numerous incoming Covid suitcases. Photo: LAURENT GUIRAUD.
Laurent Guiraud / Tamedia
A third wave of Covid more brutal than the previous ones. This is the nightmare calculation of the Geneva University Hospitals. In a diagram that fell into the hands of the “Tribune de Genève” and probably drawn shortly before the reopening of Geneva, three scenarios can be read.
If the restrictions are lifted, the new wave of hospitalizations by the end of January reaches a daily peak close to one thousand, two-thirds higher than in November, the graph shows. With the measures maintained, the winter rebound exceeds even that of autumn. It would be only by tightening the screw that we would find ourselves facing a less steep peak, a little lower than the spring peak.
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