Theresa May and the defeat of the Brexit: should she leave now?



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Short while? At the end of the text c & # 39; is a summary.


In the seconds before the biggest defeat of a British government since 1924, Theresa May is sitting deeply sunk in the green skin of her bank. He leans forward, then again, sips a glass of water, fumbles with his documents, runs a hand through his hair, smiles briefly, searches for water again.

So the result: only 202 MPs voted in the lower house for the Prime Minister's exit agreement. 432 are against. The slap is even more violent than many expect.

Now he can know that a good part of his people at Brexit can not be put online. The conservatives have 316 votes, 118 rejects the May agreement.

See here in the video how the result was announced:

When the result is announced tonight, the prime minister will remain petrified for a moment. But then he seems to shake off every sign of nervousness: when he gets up, his voice is clear. May is ready for this situation, it had to be. In December, he had even canceled the previously scheduled vote on the agreement, even in the short term, because he saw no possibility.

Vote of no confidence on Wednesday

May now says how it goes. The government will hear Parliament's decision, she says. The deputies should also explain what they actually were for. "Citizens deserve clarity".

Then May goes to the offensive and steals the moment of the great show of opposition. The government will ensure that Wednesday can hold a vote of no confidence, if Labor wants it this way.

And so it is. Opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn announces that he has already filed the motion to overthrow the Tory government and pave the way for new elections.

May May now threatens the political end?

At least, tonight will show once again how things are going by May and all British politics. After all the wrestling, all the months of debates, the persuasion, the dispute is an agreement on Brexit, or at least a majority, not yet in sight.

Final election campaign

A few minutes before the vote, the Prime Minister once again addressed the parliamentarians with an emotional appeal. Their agreement meant security for business, security, protection of EU citizens in the country and a good basis for future business relationships. All that is at stake. "Today is the most significant vote that each of us will take in his political career," he says.

It is his personal finale of a real electoral campaign. From the weekend, May once again asked dozens of Tory politicians to speak in their office in the Parliament building. On Monday he spoke in the fortress of Brexit Stoke-on-Trent, then in front of his faction in London, he also appeared in parliament.

Alone: ​​did not help.

And despite recent attempts from Brussels, May once again jump aside. The Head of the EU Commission, Jean-Claude Juncker, and the President of the Council, Donald Tusk, repeated once again that the so-called "backstop" should not be applied permanently. The emergency solution for the Irish island border would challenge Britain to the EU Customs Union. For many in the UK unacceptable.

But Juncker and Tusk remained at a declaration of dissolved intent. On specific commitments, a fixed deadline for the backstop has not been included. It was clear Monday: May still had nothing concrete to offer the doubters in Parliament.


Nigel Farage


Getty Images

Nigel Farage

Carnival Rally in front of the Parliament

On the day of voting, things are not going better. In the morning in front of the Parliament in London, the demonstrators warm up for the final decision, where later in the evening they march hundreds of Proeuropeans. Some people have been protesting for weeks with balloons, drums, bells, funeral robes and flags. This time a ship created the Proeuropei, which is heading towards an iceberg. On it there is a woman with the mask of may.

In the same place, Nigel smiles Farage in a camera wall. The right-wing populist was the driving force among European enemies for the plebiscite at the exit of the European Union. Now he is in front of Parliament and is visibly happy with the historic defeat the government faces. His solution: "Let's step outside". Without an agreement, of course.

Mays unchanged problem: it has them all against the adversary – the Brexit extremists and those who want to remain in the EU.

Then the next stop line: House Speaker John Bercow announces which amendments he approves for the evening vote. Not included is a document from the Ranks of the Tories, which would provide the agreement with a request for a concrete end date for the backstop. Renegotiating with this clear message in Brussels – by May it would have been quite fascinating.

Three of the four approved amendments subsequently withdraw the initiators. There seems to be a decision on the original application, there is no room for interpretation.

Renegotiation in Brussels?

Only: it still remains completely open, as it now goes to Brexit. If May received more than a hundred votes from his ranks, he had previously been called, the pressure should be on them to resign. In his speech to the House of Commons, the head of government leaves no sign.

And the prospects for Labor's no-confidence motion should not be very good. After all, it is hard to imagine that the conservatives vote with Jeremy Corbyn, the leftist extremist in charge of the opposition. From the DUP it is said then, May will be supported. Even the harsh opponents of the European research group in May do not want to let them fall on Wednesday.

With three days of meetings, the government now has time to consider its concrete plan for the future. This means: It can be explained by Monday at the latest. Before that, he wants to talk to the representatives of the various parties.

On the table there are still options negotiated for a long time:

  • May could return to Brussels and request renegotiation.
  • It could push for an agreement without an agreement.
  • At the same time, requests for a second referendum should become stronger again.

Much will now depend on the political momentum in the coming days, the mood that has so often faltered in the last few months. In Westminster, throughout the kingdom. Britain is a divided country. Even after this night.

In summary: Theresa May has lost the vote on her EU Brexit agreement more clearly than previously thought. Now the head of government has three days to examine a plan on how to proceed with the negotiations with Brussels. A vote of no confidence from the Labor Opposition, which will take place on Wednesday evening, will not give much chance. But what is happening in May at the head of the country, if and what can renegotiate in Brussels, is open.

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