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NJust a few moments ago the blow of Prime Minister of Great Britain of Theresa May in the House of Commons: in Brussels the President of the Council of the European Union Donald Tusk spoke on Twitter and spoke in a debris way: "If an agreement it's impossible and nobody wants an agreement. Who will finally have the courage to say which is the only possible solution? "
A few minutes later, the President of the European Commission Jean-Claude Juncker asks in a written statement: "I urge the United Kingdom to clarify its intentions as soon as possible." Also the European Union remained under the impression of the dramatic development of London Faithful to the line that followed for weeks. Therefore, in Brexit, poker is not the EU, but also London on the train.
Only on Monday, Tusk and Juncker, on may of May and in an attempt to direct the mid-November between Brussels and London, have negotiated an agreement on the official exit scheduled for the end of March of the United Kingdom by the lower house, in a letter in May for some clarifications. They were mainly aesthetic in nature, so they could not, as the clear vote of the House of Commons has clarified, numerous Brexit defenders, but also opponents of the appearance of a "yes" to the submissive jury.
The motto is: wait
Above all, London critics have noted that the 27 partners in the EU want to stick to the agreed treaty text. This was in line with a sharp refusal of the Prime Minister's desire to limit the security blockade, which is designed to prevent border controls between Northern Ireland in the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland as a member of the # 39; EU, if possible. The recovery solution must be used if London and its partners in the EU are unable to reach agreement on a full commercial and partnership agreement within the transitional period, which will last until the end of 2021, when Britain will continue to be part of the single market.
Even in Brussels, one was surprised by the extent of Mays' defeat. In the atmosphere of the EU institutions it was also stated that the chances of further talks with London would be increased and a second attempt in the lower house with the number of votes for the Tuesday night's Brexit deal. The unexpectedly clear majority of 432 votes to 202 should have taken the momentum of the strategy, apparently based in London, to lift the resignation agreement in a second or further effort beyond the parliamentary obstacles without major adjustments. So, what almost coincidently said in the evening Juncker and a Tusk spokesperson said: The risk of a messy exit of Britain had increased with the London vote.
However, the motto in Brussels was still: on hold – for the intention of May and probably next Monday presented "Plan B" – and drink tea. Behind the scenes, various scenarios also make their way around the institutions of the EU. They are mainly aimed at gaining time and a shift or even a complete withdrawal from the exit. This could be done through a second Brexit referendum or simply by withdrawing the UK withdrawal request under Article 50 of the EU Treaty, even without the consent of the EU partners.
"The time of political games is over"
By delaying the withdrawal date beyond the end of March, the 27 EU governments should approve unanimously, in line with the EU treaty. However, a postponement beyond the beginning of July would be problematic as the European Parliament elected at the end of May will meet for its inaugural meeting. A British representation in the Strasbourg house should therefore be avoided as much as possible.
The changes to the substance of the withdrawal agreement have been rejected by the EU. However, at least the President of the Juncker Commission presented himself on Tuesday evening. Although the Withdrawal Agreement was described as "the only possible" and "best" deal for both parties, the further debate in London could re-shuffle the cards. So the mental games turn into a "softer" Brexit, in which Britain would be closer to the single market than many Brexit friends would like today. It would reduce London's ability to negotiate comprehensive trade agreements with other countries. On the other hand, close ties with the EU could ensure that the internal border remains open.
While Juncker and Tusk continued to address the issue of a second Brexit referendum, which was raised again in the lower house on Tuesday by a number of parliamentarians, support came from the European Parliament. "The time for political games is over," said Green Party leader Ska Keller. A second referendum could be "a possibility". "If the British decide they want to stay in the European Union, the European Union must welcome them with open arms," Keller said in the evening. SPD member Jo Leinen, who had previously – and more than 140 MEPs – in an open letter for Britain to remain in the EU, said Tuesday night: "In the election call or a second Brexit "The EU-27 must reassess the situation." Elmar Brok (CDU), representative of Brexit of the EPP Group, said in the evening: "An extension of the suspension period is only possible if there are new ones. elections or a second referendum ".
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