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The high-level dispute with the UK exit agreement of the European Union (EU) provides for a disapproval, this Tuesday, in the British Parliament, but what follows is uncertain.
Politicians, press and analysts have speculated about the possible consequences of a defeat, suggesting different immediate and future scenarios.
Theresa May's resignation: The text is seen as "the agreement of the prime minister" because it is the result of Theresa May's determination to find a compromise between the implementation of the "Brexit" established by the 2016 referendum, in particular on the control of 39. Immigration and close cooperation with the EU in terms of trade, economy and security. An advantage of a large number of votes can be seen as a particular disapproval of May's strategy. The consequence should be the dismissal, argued opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn. But so far the prime minister has remained committed to continuing to lead the process.
Motion of censorship: The Labor party has expressed its intention to present a motion of censorship to the government to try to force early elections. It has the support of all the opposition parties, but to pass it needs the support of Conservative deputies or the Democratic Unionist Party, which is an ally of the ruling party. "We will present the monsoon at the moment we choose, but it will be soon," he told Labor director Jeremy Corbyn on Sunday. It can happen today and it will be held on Wednesday, but it is not sure what will happen. Conservative MPs and the DUP showed no sign that they would be willing to overthrow the government itself.
renegotiation: The government has until Monday to present a plan with the next steps. The refusal of the agreement could be understood as an order for the prime minister to return to Brussels to negotiate other terms. The main point of discussion is the safeguard solution for Northern Ireland. The leader of the Democratic Union Union Arlene Foster declared on Tuesday that the government should propose a "better deal" to European leaders, to exclude the infamous "catch".
Parliament takes control: The majority of cross-party deputies can try to have the House of Commons introduce in Government Plan B the obligation to make a series of indicative votes to test the support to different models of "Brexit", from the moment in which they remain in the customs union until an exit without agreement.
Departure without agreement: The law on the exit of the EU requires that "Brexit" takes place on March 29th and this is the default result. Both the UK Government and the European Union have made preparations for this scenario because of the risk of disturbing the movement of goods, services and people, but the real consequences are uncertain. Parliament could be crucial in stopping this scenario, since the biggest consensus on Brexit is that the country should not leave the EU without agreement and disorder.
Extension of Article 50: The British government may request an extension of the expiration of Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, which, once activated in 2017, triggered a two-year period to negotiate "Brexit". The approval depends on the other 27 member countries. British Prime Minister Theresa May has reiterated that it will not, but opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn has admitted that he should have done so if Labur had "won" the elections to allow the negotiation of a new agreement. There are those who consider this unavoidable measure due to the fact that they are only 73 days away.
New referendum: The idea of a new referendum is mainly favored by those who oppose the "Brexit" and would like it to be reversed. Theresa May and most Euro-skeptics, as well as Jeremy Corbyn, Labor Party leader, understand that the outcome of the 2016 referendum must be respected. A growing number of MEPs from various parties, including conservatives, believe that a new referendum on voters could be the only way to unblock the situation.
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