Of Tom Buerkle
(The author is a Reuters journalist Breakingviews.)
NEW YORK, Dec 31 (Reuters Breakingviews) – After all the clamor, the blockchain is due for a breakthrough in 2019. Banks and companies are gradually applying the technology versions of distributed registers associated with bitcoins to tasks such as regulation. Demonstrating the usefulness of the blockchain, however, will say little about the value of the cryptocurrencies themselves.
This is destined to change. Banks and exchanges have deep pockets and their development of authorized blockchain systems – limited to members of a defined group – avoids the heavy use of energy, the capacity constraints and governance problems that have plagued bitcoin platforms and upstart as EOS.
So far these efforts have shown the effectiveness of blockchain for uses such as the settlement of securities or one-off transactions such as the $ 110 million bond that the World Bank issued through a ledger distributed in August. In October, the Depository Trust & Clearing Corp, the largest American securities trading processor, said the tests showed that blockchain technology could handle the daily peak in the US stock market of over 100 million trades.
At the beginning of 2019, Luxembourg banks should start using software from the Cambridge Blockchain startup to manage compliance with the know-your-customer regulations. Digital Asset Holdings, the company that was previously run by former JPMorgan Blythe Masters, is preparing to test its blockchain technology at the Australian Stock Exchange with the goal of replacing its clearing and settlement systems by 2021. Other projects are in the pipeline.
Now that the boom in initial coin bidding, which has raised about $ 20 billion in two years, has largely transformed into a collapse of cryptocurrency values and repression by control bodies, venture capital firms can also channel capital more effectively in less flashy but more useful ideas. The value of Bitcoin has plunged from a peak of nearly $ 20,000 at the end of 2017 to less than $ 4,000 a year later: the original virtual currency and its imitators may never become reliable in a digital way. But the blockchain applications that people can put to good use would be a beneficial by-product.
– This is a Breakingviews forecast for 2019. To see more of our predictions, click